Buying replicel stock thread

[Maradona]

hey guys after long thought me and a friend will put around 600-1000$ in replicel's stock.

I mean I am already putting my life at stake with replicel since in my opinion it's the only solution to my hair loss so why not put 1k of my hard earned money .

Anyways if you are expert please enligthen the people how to buy them or if youre simply interested in the stocks post here.

Has anybody already bought stocks?

Thanks a lot guys.

Edit: guys I apologize if this is not the right place to post this, if it's not feel free to delete it if you are an admin.

[2020]

geez... how are you so sure that Replicel will deliver great results?

[Maradona]

geez... how are you so sure that Replicel will deliver great results?

I am about 80% sure it will yield some results, i got nothing to lose other than a bald head for the rest of my life anyways.

[Pate]

I would do the same except my current account with my broker doesn't allow me to trade international stocks (I'm in Australia).

$600 to $1000 sounds like a good amount too. Any more is starting to get a little risky.

Incidentally I notice that the share price rebounded strongly the last couple of days and is back at $2.50 after its little drop to $1.80. It might be worth waiting for one of these dips before you buy (but don't wait too long because if news comes out about the trial and it's good, you could miss the boat).

Replicel is listed on the OTCBB which is not a normal stock exchange like the NYSE or NASDAQ. It is an exchange for smaller companies that don't qualify for listing on the larger exchanges. I don't know how you go about trading on the OTCBB, maybe someone who trades US stocks can help.

I don't see why we can't have a thread about the stock, since Replicel's stock is intrinsically linked to the success or failure of the treatment. Otherwise we are only going to talk about it on the Replicel thread!

[Maradona]

I would do the same except my current account with my broker doesn't allow me to trade international stocks (I'm in Australia).

$600 to $1000 sounds like a good amount too. Any more is starting to get a little risky.

Incidentally I notice that the share price rebounded strongly the last couple of days and is back at $2.50 after its little drop to $1.80. It might be worth waiting for one of these dips before you buy (but don't wait too long because if news comes out about the trial and it's good, you could miss the boat).

Replicel is listed on the OTCBB which is not a normal stock exchange like the NYSE or NASDAQ. It is an exchange for smaller companies that don't qualify for listing on the larger exchanges. I don't know how you go about trading on the OTCBB, maybe someone who trades US stocks can help.

I don't see why we can't have a thread about the stock, since Replicel's stock is intrinsically linked to the success or failure of the treatment. Otherwise we are only going to talk about it on the Replicel thread!

Thanks for that info man, definitely gonna wait these up and downs for some time. How does one go about selling the stocks though? Assuming replicel goes up to 10.25 which is what experts now predict, how do i get my profit? do i have to personally sell it? sell it back to the company? That's the only part that's stopping me now.

Again appreciate your input .

[Pate]

Assuming the company is not bought out, you sell it on the market to another buyer. That's how the stock market works. So you will put in an order to sell your 400 shares (if you spend $1000 at $2.50 a share you will get 400 shares) at $10.25 and somebody who wants to buy them will buy them and you will get a bit over $4000.

I would expect if the stock reaches $10 (which is pretty conservative) they will list on the NYSE or another big stock exchange and then it will be a lot easier to sell your shares. Right now they are trading on OTCBB and there aren't many buyers or sellers (which is probably the main reason the price is jumping around so much) but if they have success they will end up on a bigger exchange and there will be heaps of people buying and selling.

A lot of investors and most institutions won't touch OTCBB stocks because they are so risky. So if/when they list on NYSE then many more people will be interested in trading them.

If you are finding it all a bit complicated you could think about talking to a financial planner or something similar and get some investment advice.

[born]

how many threads are you going to make?

[NotBelievingIt]

It is unlikely RepliCel will ever exist on a regular exchange.

It is far more likely to be bought out.

If I had to take a reasonable guess, it will be bought out for something like $1 billion which would result in about a 10x return at current prices.

"don't pull such a number out of your ass"

I'm not.

$1B would be a reasonable buyout figure, if not low. Why? Lets play some number games:

We'll hold steady at 50M outstanding shares.

Lets also imagine it costs $8000 for treatment.

The first year there are 10,000 who pony it up. This is probably low, very low

Thats revenue of $80M. Lets imagine the operating margin is 20%, that leaves $16M as income available to share holders. At 50M shares, thats an Earning Per Share of $0.32

Being a biotech growth (ha!) stock, it would be reasonable to expect a Price to Earnings ratio in the range of at least 40 (if not way higher but lets not go crazy)

This would translate to a share price of $12.80. With 50M shares outstanding, that equates to a market cap of $640M.

Therefore it is not unreasonable that the company jumps to being valued at something like $500M when its announced its all good and will start being available.

Considering a buyout of a biotech growth stock is usually at least double what 'the market' has priced the company at, I would imagine that a buyout of RepliCel would be in the $25/share range, or approximately $1.25B

In other words, equating to approximately 10x return an investment at todays price of $2.50.


Keep in mind I'm making up numbers for cost of treatment, those doing it, the operating margin and PE ratio but in my opinion they are well within reason.

[Maradona]

It is unlikely RepliCel will ever exist on a regular exchange.

It is far more likely to be bought out.

If I had to take a reasonable guess, it will be bought out for something like $1 billion which would result in about a 10x return at current prices.

"don't pull such a number out of your ass"

I'm not.

$1B would be a reasonable buyout figure, if not low. Why? Lets play some number games:

We'll hold steady at 50M outstanding shares.

Lets also imagine it costs $8000 for treatment.

The first year there are 10,000 who pony it up. This is probably low, very low

Thats revenue of $80M. Lets imagine the operating margin is 20%, that leaves $16M as income available to share holders. At 50M shares, thats an Earning Per Share of $0.32

Being a biotech growth (ha!) stock, it would be reasonable to expect a Price to Earnings ratio in the range of at least 40 (if not way higher but lets not go crazy)

This would translate to a share price of $12.80. With 50M shares outstanding, that equates to a market cap of $640M.

Therefore it is not unreasonable that the company jumps to being valued at something like $500M when its announced its all good and will start being available.

Considering a buyout of a biotech growth stock is usually at least double what 'the market' has priced the company at, I would imagine that a buyout of RepliCel would be in the $25/share range, or approximately $1.25B

In other words, equating to approximately 10x return an investment at todays price of $2.50.


Keep in mind I'm making up numbers for cost of treatment, those doing it, the operating margin and PE ratio but in my opinion they are well within reason.

that's exactly what me and my friend are thinking just hold these stocks till replicel is bought out, then we can just sell it to big pharma or whoever is buying it and get the money for our treatments.

thanks for the confirmation though, we are not experts at stocking at all !!

[TheLongnHairyProphet]

geez... how are you so sure that Replicel will deliver great results?

you better hope replicel brings good results. Otherwise you'll never have that hair on your avatar, not even half of it. You will be doomed to a life of painful baldness, you can always embrace it though .


Or You can always wear a piece.


I think it's a good idea to buy the replicel stocks if you've spare change and do not have the money for the replicel treatment if it ever comes out, especially if replicel is your only hope.

heres an advice, guys we really need to stop speculating and wait for april, get depressed after april whatever the results are. Don't get depressed now : )

Till April 30 guys !

[sickly_burnt_tree_forest]

It makes sence to pony up 500 bucks or so...if the company is successful you might have paid for your treatmeant a couple years after it comes out onto the market. If It fails, losing 500 bucks wont sting nowhere as much as the dissapointment for all our poor heads.

[oracle]

I agree with Sickly and some of the others above. I bought $1k worth at 2.00 a few weeks ago with the idea that if the treatment works I will want to be treated and will need to pay approx (guessing) maybe 6-12K. The stock could hit $10-15 dollars and go a long way to paying for my hair.

Conversely, If the the treatment and investment go up in smoke I'd only lose 1k.

One of the easiest gambles I've made. Closed at $2.40 today.

[clandestine]

What's the stock called? Sorry if silly question, not very well versed in these matters.

[Maradona]

I agree with Sickly and some of the others above. I bought $1k worth at 2.00 a few weeks ago with the idea that if the treatment works I will want to be treated and will need to pay approx (guessing) maybe 6-12K. The stock could hit $10-15 dollars and go a long way to paying for my hair.

Conversely, If the the treatment and investment go up in smoke I'd only lose 1k.

One of the easiest gambles I've made. Closed at $2.40 today.

Man I haven't bought the stock yet....I'm still waiting for it to down but at this point it seems it won't go below 2.20 anymore.

Once I buy it I plan to keep it for years, though.

clandestine just google replicel stock or go to replicels page to the investors section.

btw guys which site do you recommend buying the stock from?

[clandestine]

Man I haven't bought the stock yet....I'm still waiting for it to down but at this point it seems it won't go below 2.20 anymore.

Once I buy it I plan to keep it for years, though.

clandestine just google replicel stock or go to replicels page to the investors section.

btw guys which site do you recommend buying the stock from?

2.20 better than 2.40