RepliCel - Spencer Kobren's Follow Up Interview With CEO David Hall

[needhairplease]

Wow, good thing you pointed out my blog was a speculation, for a second there I was worried everyone in here was working toward an accurate prediction of how the medical world will unfold in the completely unforseeable future.
(Where's the smiley for relieved?)

[needhairplease]

If propecia is 20 percent, and u call 50 percent a defacto cure.
I when I read ur blow I honestly hope you don't understands what de facto means.

[re22]

50% of your total hair, meaning that a Norwood 1 would be 100%, wouldn't be a good result?

[nrj]

If propecia is 20 percent, and u call 50 percent a defacto cure.
I when I read ur blow I honestly hope you don't understands what de facto means.

and the difference between propecia and replicel, is that you dont have to take another drug in ure life, you dont lose any more existing hair and there are no sexual or specific side effects, if thats not a cure i dont know what is...

if someone realises his hair loss just as it starts and goes to replicel, he is completely saved.

[Kiwi]

If Replicel got 50% that would be a de facto cure. 50% would be magnificent. Most of your arguments are very specious, because, for one, we don't really even know exactly what these companies are doing on the business side of things. Secondly, these companies are still in Phase I/II trials, and have not gone through a rigorous testing protocol. I don't think most of you real realize how extensive this process is: for these companies to just flat out say that they have a cure so prematurely would be wreckless and scientifically unsound. You also have to put into consideration patents and other legal things that we probably don't know about either. I know people on these forums love to jump to conclusions, but let's just focus on the facts as they become available to us.

Not to mention the non disclosure agreements people in the trials have no doubt been made to sign.

From a business point of view Aderans are kicking ass. Securing millions of dollars and almost wrapping up phase 2 trials. Nobody invests hundreds of millions into a drug unless they think they will see a return.

[Pate]

50% of original density would, if it were permanent and evenly distributed, effectively be a cure because 50% is around the limit at which thinning hair first starts to become noticeable on most people. FUE could then increase density even further, or even it out, or whatever.

But it's not access to capital that is the problem delaying Histogen, Replicel etc (though it doesn't help). It's the time needed for multiple clinical trials. Bill Gates could give Replicel his entire fortune and it wouldn't help them get their product to market any quicker, they would still have to wait until Fall 2012 for their Phase II and then probably at least 12 months after that to start Phase III. And then all the extra time to get it approved by the FDA, commercialised, and rolled out across the world.

And that's if everything goes perfectly. If the method still needs perfecting they may have to go back and do one of the Phases again, with another 12 month delay.

So all in all I think the most likely outcome is that an effective treatment, if not a cure, is on the way and we are on the right track in pursuing it via hair stem cells... but nobody can say with certainty when it will come. It will almost certainly not be before 2015... and it could be much delayed.

For now, let's wait for March and see what Replicel can show us. We'll be in a better position to know where we stand after that.

[Losing_It]

Well first off let me wish everyone here a good 2012 and lets hope for the best in the coming months. My 2 cents on the matter is simple. If replicel succeeds in proving their claims that:

a. they can re-juvenate damaged and create new hair follicles, and
b. make existing hair dht resistant

sounds to me like a cure. Even if they fail to get significant regrowth, the prospect of making existing follicles dht resistance is a real break through. Perhaps at this stage it may not be enough for many, but is really great for future generations? lets not be selfish here.

[born]

Well first off let me wish everyone here a good 2012 and lets hope for the best in the coming months. My 2 cents on the matter is simple. If replicel succeeds in proving their claims that:

a. they can re-juvenate damaged and create new hair follicles, and
b. make existing hair dht resistant

sounds to me like a cure. Even if they fail to get significant regrowth, the prospect of making existing follicles dht resistance is a real break through. Perhaps at this stage it may not be enough for many, but is really great for future generations? lets not be selfish here.

did they say they are going to make existing hair dht resistant? that's good news

[melwou7245]

Just out of curiosity, let's say they achieve all these wonderful results we hope for but the FDA and EMA tell 'em to cool their heals until the whole process has been followed, what do you folks believe the odds are that they would go ahead and release it anyway in other territories that have looser regulations that would allow it?

Also, if this is the case, how many of you would be willing to wait for the US release or drive across the border to el Tijuana to get your injections?

[NeedHairASAP]

So much speculation



when was the last OFFICIAL statement by Replicel?


what date? and when will be seeing another OFFICIAL statement by Replicel?

[2020]

So much speculation



when was the last OFFICIAL statement by Replicel?


what date? and when will be seeing another OFFICIAL statement by Replicel?

in march

[NeedHairASAP]

in march

is that when they are expecting to be done this current trial?

is that when they are expecting to have the results from the current trial?

or is that when they will release the results from the current trial?

and have they formally announced this march date?

[NeedHairASAP]

in march

I'm just tired of seeing this thread updated, checking the thread, and finding its just people talking with no real update


I suggest a seperate thread for OFFICIAL RESULTS AND NEWS RELEASES ONLY w/ zero "discussion"... perhaps the admins could start a single thread where posts must be approved? so that only REAL news will update the thread



so tired of reading hypotheses about the compoundability of a product that we don't even know works not compounded

[2020]

Replicel.com

The TS001-2009 study team will be performing a thorough review of the collected study data throughout the months of March and April 2012. Once complete, the treatment groups will be revealed (‘un-blinded’) to the data analysis team and the data will be analyzed. RepliCel remains on schedule to release the initial review of efficacy results in April 2012.

[gmonasco]

From a business point of view Aderans are kicking ass. Securing millions of dollars and almost wrapping up phase 2 trials. Nobody invests hundreds of millions into a drug unless they think they will see a return.

See http://www.xconomy.com/boston/2011/1...es-drug-trial/ for one of numerous counter-examples.