I think I've hacked it

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  • InBeforeTheCure
    replied
    Originally posted by xyz123
    Original paper is below - it's the Stu1 restriction site. It may not be the functional culprit (it may be tagged to a functional culprit that's yet to be elucidated - and hence the numbers don't work out to exactly 100%). But whatever this tags - it is the gatekeeper for MPB. If you don't have it, you keep your hair. That said - it's necessary, but not sufficient. Even 75% of non-bald guys have it - that's where the MPB disease modifying genes start to play a role.

    We need a drug that down-regulates expression of the androgen receptor in the scalp.

    http://www.nature.com/jid/journal/v1.../5601004a.html
    Thanks. As far as I can tell, that's the marker also known as rs6152.

    There's also this:

    Abstract:

    Androgenetic alopecia (AGA) is a common heritable polygenic disorder whose genetics is not fully understood, even though it seems to be X-linked. We carried out an epidemiological survey for AGA on 9,000 people from 8 isolated villages of a secluded region of Sardinia (Ogliastra), and identified a large cohort of affected individuals. We genotyped 200 cases and 200 controls (mean kinship 0.001) with the 500k chip array and conducted case–control association analysis on the X chromosome. We identified Xq11-q12 as strongly associated with AGA. In particular, we found that rs1352015 located 8 kb from the EDA2R gene showed the best result (P=7.77e−7). This region also contains the AR gene, hence we tested both genes in 492 cases and 492 controls. We found that the non-synonymous SNP rs1385699 on EDA2R gave the best result (P=3.9e−19) whereas rs6152 on the AR gene is less significant (P=4.17e−12). Further statistical analysis carried out by conditioning each gene to the presence of the other showed that the association with EDA2R is independent while the association with AR seems to be the result of linkage disequilibrium. These results give insight into the pathways involved in AGA etiology.
    Our study shows that AR and EDA2R are significantly associated with AGA. However, there is some LD between the two most associated markers for each gene (rs6152, rs1385699: D′=0.74, r2=0.43). To test if they are independently associated, we conditioned the analysis of each gene to the other one. We used the UNPHASED software (Dudbridge, 2003), which permits the association of a marker to be conditioned to the presence of another marker. The analysis of rs1385699 conditioned to the presence of rs6152 gave a very significant P-value of 6.136e−9, whereas when we conditioned the analysis of rs6152 to the presence of rs1385699 the P-value was 0.04. Again, rs1385699 conditioned to the presence of rs12558842 gave a very significant result (P-value 0.007), whereas rs12558842 conditioned to the presence of the EDA2R variant did not give a significant result (P-value 0.06). These results show that in our population, the EDA2R gene variation causes susceptibility to AGA. The conditioned analysis suggests that markers on the AR gene could be associated because of LD. However, we cannot exclude that other variants in LD with both genes (that is, regulatory elements of either or both genes) could be associated with AGA. Moreover, the functional importance of AR has already been proven by many means, and its involvement in this pathology cannot be excluded. Further functional and genetic studies are needed to clarify the role of these two genes and their possible interactions in the etiology of AGA.
    Two receptors for EDA were found that are specific for the two isoforms EDA-A1 and EDA-A2: EDAR and EDA2R, respectively. EDA-A1 and its receptor EDAR are capable of activating the NF-κB pathway and are implicated in hair growth (Botchkarev and Fessing, 2005). EDA2R is capable of activating the NF-κB pathway and also through TRAF3,6, JNK (c-Jun N-terminal kinase) (Sinha et al., 2002), which activates c-Jun. Mutations in EDA and EDAR give rise to ectodermal dysplasia, a clinical syndrome characterized by loss of hair, sweat glands, and teeth, whereas mutations in EDA2R do not (Monreal et al., 1999; Naito et al., 2002; Newton et al., 2004). Recently, a preliminary report suggested that EDAR may influence hair thickness in Asians (A. Fujimoto, R. Kimura, J. Ohashi, U. Samakkarn, W. Settheetham-Ishida, T. Ishida, Y. Morishita, T. Furusawa, M. Nakazawa, R. Ohtsuka, R. Yuliwulandari, L. Batubara, M.S. Mustofa, K. Tokunaga, A scan for genetic determinants of human hair morphology: EDAR is associated with Asian hair thickness, ASHJ Meeting 2007). EDA2R could influence the onset of AGA through the activation of the NF-κB pathway or by c-Jun, which has been shown to be critical for AR transactivation (Bubulya et al., 1996). Moreover, in adult mice, EDA2R is also expressed in the hair bulb and in differentiating hair matrix (Botchkarev and Fessing, 2005). Looking at the human expression data from the UniGene database (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/entrez), we noticed that it is expressed during embryonic life and, especially, in the first weeks after birth. Expression then seems to be absent until the 17th year of age, when it recurs in different tissues, including skin. This expression pattern fits very well with the course of AGA, with its onset around puberty.
    Source: http://www.nature.com/jid/journal/v1...id200860a.html

    I actually have

    rs6152 = A (the non-risk allele, present in only 1 of the 54 young balding men in the paper you cited)

    rs1385699 = T (the risk allele on the EDA2R gene, associated with baldness)

    Leave a comment:


  • xyz123
    replied
    No - that's not it at all.

    His theory - which I think may actually be correct - accounts for the limited efficacy of current treatments (and that's totally accurate - current treatments have incredibly limited efficacy).

    His theory is not that complicated. Yes - there are a million pathways in MPB - but all converge on the androgen receptor. That's why - if you take a drug that affects one pathway - its overall impact is limited because there are multiple other pathways that continue to stimulate the androgen receptor. I think everyone thought that MPB was due to a linear cascade of events - but it's probably not. It's multiple parallel pathways that converge on the androgen receptor.

    His insight was driven by work in prostate cancer ,which has recognized that the androgen receptor can be activated by - not just DHT - but multiple other pro-inflammatory factors.

    A typical diagram: http://www.carcinogenesis.com/viewim...0_83937_f2.jpg




    Honestly - this explains so much. It's why things that create increased scalp inflammation in vulnerable people accelerate baldness - whereas there's no effect in non-vulnerable people. It's why harsh shampoos that contain sodium lauryl sulfate can accelerate baldness in vulnerable individuals (by creating scalp inflammation) - but have no effect on non-vulnerable people. (which led people to say that baldness being caused by harsh shampoos is a myth - which is partially true - but it can definitely accelerate the process).

    And this shouldn't be viewed as discouraging. Yes - none of the current treatments will be a definitive cure (as expected) - but if someone can develop a drug that down-regulates the androgen receptor in the scalp - which should not be that hard (the hardest part of this stuff is finding the critical target; which in hindsight was probably right in front of us all along) - then it's conceivable a drug could be developed fairly quickly.

    I think this is really encouraging. We're borrowing from discoveries and breakthroughs from another field to break new ground in our area. This happens a lot in medicine - and is often how major breakthroughs occur. Keep the faith

    Leave a comment:


  • Follisket
    replied
    Well, he's basically saying that, according to his theory, none of the treatments in development currently would really work, and the one thing he supposedly has figured out is too hard and too expensive to do, and couldn't possibly be out within the next 10 years. Some cure/treatment that is.

    And people actually get excited over the prospect of finally having a full head of hair at the age of 70? Jeez, no wonder baldies are screwed.

    Leave a comment:


  • xyz123
    replied
    Original paper is below - it's the Stu1 restriction site. It may not be the functional culprit (it may be tagged to a functional culprit that's yet to be elucidated - and hence the numbers don't work out to exactly 100%). But whatever this tags - it is the gatekeeper for MPB. If you don't have it, you keep your hair. That said - it's necessary, but not sufficient. Even 75% of non-bald guys have it - that's where the MPB disease modifying genes start to play a role.

    We need a drug that down-regulates expression of the androgen receptor in the scalp.

    Leave a comment:


  • Dench57
    replied
    I've no idea why somebody who has clearly put a lot of time and effort into figuring out this disease, then sharing his theories with everyone, has been met with such nasty replies. Good going guys.

    The more intelligent, diligent, BALDING people from a scientific background we have working on this the better. You can be damn sure nobody else cares about us.

    Leave a comment:


  • InBeforeTheCure
    replied
    Originally posted by xyz123
    His story accounts for what is observed from a genetic perspective. The critical genetic variant on the androgen receptor that leaves us vulnerable to male pattern baldness is carried by 85% of the population (at least among Western Europeans). If you don't have a copy of this variant, then you won't go bald. And this accounts for how a male who becomes NW7 at 21 years of age can have a kid that never loses a hair during his whole life (? John Mayer and Orlando Bloom). He inherited a golden X chromosome from his mother that doesn't carry the AR MPB genetic variant - so no matter what genes he inherits from his father and the remaining genes he inherits from his mother, he'll never go bald - he is protected for life. This also accounts for how a father who never lost a hair his whole life can give birth to a son who goes NW7 at 19. The father may have carried a ton of balding genes - but they effectively could never become "active" because he carried the golden X-chromosome - but then his son inherits a regular X-chromosome from his mother and then his balding genes become relevant and destroys the son's life... This is how balding can skip a generation.

    It's only 15% of the population that get this lucky - so for the other 85%, your propensity to develop MPB is influenced by genes from both your mother and your father. Most of us (well, all of us on this website), carry the genetic variant on the AR that makes us vulnerable to MPB - so we will go bald with time - but the rate and the extent is dependent upon the other MPB disease modifying genes (and there are probably many, many genes involved) that you inherit from both of your parents. And this is consistent with what we observe - most people end up being a blend of your maternal and paternal genes. Periodically some people get screwed and inherit all of the MPB disease modifying genes carried by both parents and end up going bald much earlier - and others get lucky and avoid the majority of the MPB disease modifying genes and go bald much later.
    Which variant in the androgen receptor gene are you referring to exactly? Can you link me to the paper where the 85% figure comes from?

    Leave a comment:


  • Follisket
    replied
    Good god, the time and energy some people are willing to expend just to terrify others with theories on how/why a cure isn't likely to be discovered any time soon ...
    How about actually fixing it instead?

    Leave a comment:


  • Thinning87
    replied
    There really was no purpose insulting FGF11. It's not like he ruined anyone's day by opening this interesting thread, so why call him a scammer?

    However, FGF11, if you are reading this, you shouldn't get offedned by the things people say on this forum. Most people here, and especially the most active forumers, are in their early 20's.

    Hope you come back and continue the conversation! Worst comes to worst, some of us may have an interesting read

    Leave a comment:


  • robodoc
    replied
    Photos? Everyone wants photos. He postulated a freekin theory and everyone here, like Fred, jumps all over the guy. I just think if someone is BS we don't the need harsh words and the doubting genius' that know all the frauds because they have been blogging forever. By someone, his theory was pointed out to be error. I like intelligent responses and the act of civility is not easy for some miserable people.

    Leave a comment:


  • robodoc
    replied
    Sure, he has an agenda but could it be less than nefarious?

    Originally posted by fred970
    Get the hell out of here. Just like every other mad scientist scammer. You have something to sell.

    Just put in one line what we have to do or take. Give us some f-ing cliffs. If you can't, no one should listen to what you have to say.

    Just look at how our current treatments work: take finasteride and apply minoxidil twice a day. Why can't you do that? Because you have an agenda.
    @Fred, what is his agenda? BS artist with some science background? If he is BS I am sure his theory is easily refuted. I don't see his statements as a serious agenda.
    Clue me in one day. Something is amiss with his story I will agree.

    Leave a comment:


  • PatientlyWaiting
    replied
    Well it was an interesting read, and harsh replies. Although like he said, there's not much we can anyway.

    Leave a comment:


  • Ulti1
    replied
    That's nice of you to believe in open science. The jerk offs over at P*G don't. I got this feeling they are plotting to monetize something. Probably RU is my guess.

    How they think they are going to compete in price against a Chinese manufacture is beyond me.

    Leave a comment:


  • allTheGoodNamesAreTaken
    replied
    Originally posted by fred970
    Look at my join date, and then look at yours, I've been in this far longer than you've been.

    Every other month, some mad scientist comes up with these miracle cures he found in his basement.
    Some of them find something that works too (Swiss Temples).

    Leave a comment:


  • Westonci
    replied
    FGF11 please dont go, Fred970 is a dumbass. Just ignore him.

    Leave a comment:


  • jose1991
    replied
    What that guy has written is amazing. He is not selling anything. He is just explaining his theory and it makes ****ing sense. Some people here should learn to lisen/read what other people are trying to say before attacking them. He also explains the experiment he did on himself and the drugs he used but, as he says, even if someone rich enough could aford to cover his scalp with it, it's unknown what side effects could it have. The most worrisome is that if his theory is correct the definitive cure is still pretty far away.

    Leave a comment:

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