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  1. #1881
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    The number of injections it might possibly be does not bother me - as long as their treatment works. They could always map your scalp and create a template, similar to the way prosthetic hair is made, to get the injections right.

  2. #1882
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    Sorry for repeating...
    So basically now we have to wait till December until we hear from them again?
    Till then they'll be done with Phase 2 (0.5 years) and Phase 3 will start (1 year), then FDA approval (1-2 years for USA) and release in Asia (approx. 1 year)?
    My estimation: 4.5 years for USA and 3.5 years for Asia?
    Does it seem legit?

  3. #1883
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gjm127 View Post
    Sorry for repeating...
    So basically now we have to wait till December until we hear from them again?
    Till then they'll be done with Phase 2 (0.5 years) and Phase 3 will start (1 year), then FDA approval (1-2 years for USA) and release in Asia (approx. 1 year)?
    My estimation: 4.5 years for USA and 3.5 years for Asia?
    Does it seem legit?
    Phase 2 will last a full year - january to december.

    Yes, phase 3(if even needed for Asia) will start sometime in 2013 and ends in probably 2014.

    2014-2015 for asia and 2015-2016 is not unrealistic at this point.

  4. #1884
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2020 View Post
    Phase 2 will last a full year - january to december.

    Yes, phase 3(if even needed for Asia) will start sometime in 2013 and ends in probably 2014.

    2014-2015 for asia and 2015-2016 is not unrealistic at this point.
    I want to know that question too does outside countries need phase 3? i hate how these trials r so dam long

  5. #1885
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    Regarding the length of trials, do keep in mind that this is still a very new and experimental treatment. Maybe the FDA does make things take a bit longer than is absolutely necessary - I really don't know - but it's not actually a bad idea to be extra sure that Histogen is safe. I certainly don't enjoy having a bald spot, but at the end of the day this is still a purely cosmetic treatment that we're talking about.

  6. #1886
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    Quote Originally Posted by john2399 View Post
    I want to know that question too does outside countries need phase 3? i hate how these trials r so dam long
    Not all countries require phase 3. This is why they could release in asia sooner if they wanted.

  7. #1887
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    Quote Originally Posted by WashedOut View Post
    Not all countries require phase 3. This is why they could release in asia sooner if they wanted.
    I hope your right. I don't get what phase 3 is for. Phase 1 is primarily for safety and phase 2 is to test efficacy. What do we need phase 3 for ?

  8. #1888
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    Quote Originally Posted by john2399 View Post
    I hope your right. I don't get what phase 3 is for. Phase 1 is primarily for safety and phase 2 is to test efficacy. What do we need phase 3 for ?
    If your treatment results in the agonizing death of 1 out of every 100 patients (maybe they have some rare, recessive gene, for instance), then a 50 person phase 1 trial isn't necessarily going to catch that. A 3000 person phase 3 trial, on the other hand, might. There is actually a reason for the way things are done. I agree it's frustrating, but personally I don't plan on rushing off to Asia the instant this is available.

  9. #1889
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    Quote Originally Posted by mjolnir View Post
    If your treatment results in the agonizing death of 1 out of every 100 patients (maybe they have some rare, recessive gene, for instance), then a 50 person phase 1 trial isn't necessarily going to catch that. A 3000 person phase 3 trial, on the other hand, might. There is actually a reason for the way things are done. I agree it's frustrating, but personally I don't plan on rushing off to Asia the instant this is available.
    1 in 100 thats on par with finasteride. I think a lot of people would be happy with those odds.

  10. #1890
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tracy C View Post
    The number of injections it might possibly be does not bother me - as long as their treatment works. They could always map your scalp and create a template, similar to the way prosthetic hair is made, to get the injections right.
    Exactly. Labour intensive but not moreso than HT already is. Like the mapping out idea.

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