Replicel's update 23 October 2014

[FearTheLoss]

I agree Hellouser, I don't think the 6 month results are reflective of what this treatment is actually capable of.

[sascha]

I know they already did a phase I trail in Germany, but they still need to start a phase I trail in Japan, before they can start a second trail in which they determine the right dose.

Nope they have to show safety DURING the phase 2 trial in Japan to satisfy the new law of earlier release. No phase 1 needed for that.

[Westonci]

Nope they have to show safety DURING the phase 2 trial in Japan to satisfy the new law of earlier release. No phase 1 needed for that.

Interesting. So what would be an optimistic, and conservative estimate for availability in japan to consumers?

[hellouser]

Interesting. So what would be an optimistic, and conservative estimate for availability in japan to consumers?

39 months, give or take.

[sascha]

Interesting. So what would be an optimistic, and conservative estimate for availability in japan to consumers?

Optimistic:next year
Conservative: H2 2016 - H1 2017
Optimistic + Conservative: H1 2016

Just my opinion

[Sogeking]

Optimistic:next year
Conservative: H2 2016 - H1 2017
Optimistic + Conservative: H1 2016

Just my opinion

Yup I agree with this assessment.

[FearTheLoss]

Yup I agree with this assessment.

I think those are overly optimistic. The trials won't even be finished until h1 2016 and then they have to analyze the data and decide what to do. H2 2016 would be optimistic, conservative would be h2 2017

[sascha]

I think those are overly optimistic. The trials won't even be finished until h1 2016 and then they have to analyze the data and decide what to do. H2 2016 would be optimistic, conservative would be h2 2017

We are talking about Shiseido...

[brocktherock]

I feel like taking finasteride with replicel or histogen over a few years will essentially cure people with lower norwoods or prevent baldness in the future.

[yeahyeahyeah]

I feel like taking finasteride with replicel or histogen over a few years will essentially cure people with lower norwoods or prevent baldness in the future.

Perfect for me.

REALLY hate the fact that I dont have a great hairline anymore. It has limited my hairstyling options to a ceaser cut.

[Notcoolanymore]

Perfect for me.

REALLY hate the fact that I dont have a great hairline anymore. It has limited my hairstyling options to a ceaser cut.

Damn, it's that bad? It sucks that once we start to recede we are pretty much stuck with a caesar.

[yeahyeahyeah]

Damn, it's that bad? It sucks that once we start to recede we are pretty much stuck with a caesar.

Pretty much, unless I want to expose my V shape hairline

[rambo007]

Replicel published some financial report. Seems like phase II of MBP in Germany is postponed to Q1 2015.

http://www.replicel.com/replicel-announces-2014-third-quarter-financial-results/

[macbeth81]

Cannot be surprised with their track record.

I cannot speak regarding the efficiency of the German government, but clearing regulators during the holiday season cannot be good timing in general.

[joely]

Does not really surprise me! surely both Histogen and Replicel would be out by now if they had come out at the original predicted time